Great US President trump

Soon the U.S. election is over, and I'm optimistic about the current president trump and will be re elected. Because he is really amazing, Democratic candidate Biden, has no ability to call him.

The onlookers see clearly.

We are on the other side of the ocean, and we can naturally calmly look at the political situation of the United States and make reasonable assumptions. But politics is not the product of reason and logic, its essence is the distribution of resources, and the bottom is the comparison and contest of various forces. Either the east wind is the east wind over the west wind, or the west wind is the east wind.

The election of the president of the United States is a state win and a winner, not by absolute number. So, polls are not enough to be used as a basis. Biden poll results are better than trump, but the last Hillary Clinton poll has a good data and also suffered a terrible defeat.

This is the specific operation:

In any state, if you win, all the votes in the state will be attributed to the winning candidate. Basically, the winning and losing decisions are in several swing states, neutral states, and neither the Democrats nor the Republicans can cover the sky with their hands. The election campaign also took place in these States, and the two sides will have intensive exchanges and tour performances.

In terms of data, only about 20 percent of the people who really voted for the president of the United States. Excluding people who do not have the right to vote, this is also very low, not a real universal election. That is, at least half of Americans are not involved in politics and are not concerned about their own. Because no matter who is elected, their fate will not change, and this part of the people are often the bottom people.

The life of the bottom American people is relatively tragic, but they are supported by cheap products from all over the world, and they live well“ Poor people "line up for relief food? In absolute terms, this is already rich compared to the poor in Africa. On the other hand, it makes a large number of "instant happiness" products, such as entertainment, pornography, online games, so that the poor in the United States do not want to be enterprising and happy.

The political pattern of the United States, after the emergence of the Internet, began to change differently. Traditional media gradually declined, instead of network media, and even later social media. Now, most people get information through the Internet. This gives some people the opportunity to manipulate American politics with new technology.

Google, for example, can get your political inclination or vote will when you search trump or Biden. If Biden invested a huge amount of advertising money, or secretly entered into a deal with Google big guys, he could intervene in search results, present information that would be good for Biden or unfavorable to trump.

These network giants repeatedly conduct a/b tests, and push different content to different users, even if you search for the same thing, to achieve the goal of satisfying or manipulating users. That is to say, you think you know the truth, in fact, is the "truth" that the Internet giant wants you to think. By controlling the source of information over and over for a long time, Americans can naturally form a political tendency or have a certain preference for candidates.

For example, in 2017, the U.S. Congress launched an investigation on "Russia intervened in the 2016 US presidential election using Facebook social media platform" and impeached trump with "tongrussia gate". It is very easy to guide public opinion through social networks and control voters' preferences.

Trump is amazing, and it's very sensitive to social networks. When he took office, he immediately renovated the big internet giants and made the most of the social networks to serve himself. In recent years, basically, the American network giants have been obedient to trump, dare to be angry and dare not to speak, and can only cooperate honestly.

But tiktok is different, and its appearance has broken the original rules of political game in the United States. Trump's real reason for tiktok is not because of the "Chinese element" behind it, but because it is a troublemaker, completely out of line with the rules of American political games. The banner of "national security" is only a plan of one stone and two birds. It can not only serve as an example, but also frustrate China's sharpness and even make some benefits. At the core, however, it controls the influence of public opinion on social networks.

This is the consensus of the American political system, both Democrats and Republicans have seen the explosive power of social media in the Arab spring. As a short video carrier, tiktok has a more explosive communication attribute than traditional social media. Its audience is mainly the bottom people and young people in the United States. These people are characterized by ignorance, ignorance, indifference or youthful, inflammatory, and easily contagious emotions. It's not impossible to make a good spring in America.

Tiktok has no problems with technology, it is not the issue of data and user privacy at all. The American political class does not care about the interests of the people at all. They only care about their own interests, so tiktok has to die. The acquisition is just a cover. In the end, they want it, it's just a "political clean" entertainment tool.

Trump is particularly clear about that. And neither the Democratic Party nor other American political classes can oppose it, but will only strongly support it. Unfortunately, Zhang Yiming, a skilled man, did not understand it and had a false illusion of American politics. The United States has never had real freedom of speech, so-called freedom must not shake the foundation of American rule.

Both Democrats and Republicans have a lot of problems and problems. So, although you spray me, I spray you, but they will not hit the ball, only point to the end. If you really tear your face, it's just worse.

Therefore, the presidential election in the United States has always been performance, who can see who is more capable of performing, who has more charm and who can please the audience. As for policy, they are half a dozen, not too different, behind which are the old opponents of think tanks. As for attacks, we all talk about the other side's small flaws. Let's attack people and die together with real cases.

Trump is far better than Biden in terms of external charm and performance. The presidents of the United States have been basically good people with excellent speech skills, who are of the best eloquence and are also tall and handsome. But in terms of real ability, it is not necessarily better than competitors. For the entire American political system, the president is just a spokesman for political groups on the table, not a real speaker.

Trump is a different president, especially true. What he did was a real little man. He broke the long-standing fantasy of the United States, tore up the disguise of the United States, and restored the real America.

In fact, he doesn't have to. He will continue to work for several years according to his old road, so that the deeper the United States is trapped in the mire, the mess will be handed over to the next solution. He was out of the ordinary and did a lot of things beyond American political practice, which is the root cause why he got a lot of support.

The essence of American politics is the politics of fiscal valve, and the government policy is the embodiment of the will of the financial valve. Without enough support, trump could not have done anything. The attack on trump comes from the financial valves whose interests are damaged. The final result, must be compromise, until now, will not really let those financial valves hurt the spirit.

It's trump's amazing place, traveling between the parties, always having magical ways to turn disadvantage into good. This is inseparable from his years of business experience, with strong negotiation ability and keen insight. The traditional president and politician of the United States are all old-fashioned, and there is not much new things. Perhaps it was that that the financial valves were so striking that they decided to bet on trump.

What the United States needs is not Biden's old cliche, but a leader who can mobilize the mood of the American people. There is no more suitable president for the United States, it can be said.

Rather than that, the current US dilemma is caused by trump, it is better to say that the troubled United States happened to be in office, and the problem happened seriously.

Americans have always disliked Perfect Heroes. Those with many shortcomings are the favorite heroes of the United States. Otherwise, you watch Hollywood movies, and the most popular characters are all the guys who have a little bit of a stink and some flaws, who can make "reckless" decisions at critical times. For example, the iron man of the prodigan is more popular than the good sir, the American captain, because he is a "normal man".

In such a difficult situation, trump can still hold the situation, keep the United States from collapse, and the tricks are repeated, which means that this person is amazing. Although the plot is not necessarily his own, but can use the plan, dare to use the plan, kill decisive, must say is really powerful.

For example, he used the "exit from the World Health Organization" approach to attract months of fire. But in fact, the State Department and the United Nations said on July 7 that the notice of withdrawal was sent to the Secretary General of the United Nations, Guterres, on July 6. And the real exit date is one year later - effective July 6 2021, when trump is re elected and can easily overturn the decision. Without the effort of effortless effort, the United States was relieved of its responsibility by a large part.

Don't doubt the sophistication of this approach, and how many Americans are calling for cutting off who funding, although it's a unwise decision. Like our country, if we stop supporting Africa, there are many people who are not sure how many people with no truth clap to cheer up.

Americans generally have not much reason to say. After all, they do not accept the education of dialectical materialism, will not liberate their minds and seek truth from facts. Their style of action is mostly determined by faith, belief or so-called logic. American people have "talked about red change" in their bones, and they can't avoid Marxism and Mao Zedong thought. We can't think about the American brain circuit with our own ideas.

Trump must use his emotions to do a wave of things and get support. His "attack on China" series is for this purpose. At this time, I still have a family. Then we must not make a common door?

Trump, it's amazing.

很快美国大选了，我看好现任总统特朗普，会连任。因为他可真的了不起，民主党候选人拜登，根本没有和他叫板的本钱。

当局者迷，旁观者清。

我们身在大洋彼岸，自然可以冷静地看待美国政治局面，做各种合情合理的推测。但政治不是理性和逻辑的产物，它的本质是对资源的分配，底层是各种力量的对比和较量。不是东风压倒西风，就是西风压倒东风。

美国总统的选举，是以州做胜负手的，并不是按绝对人数计算的。所以，民调数据不足以作为依据。目前拜登民调结果优于特朗普，但上届希拉里民调数据好，也一样惨败。

具体这么操作：

在任何一个州，只要赢了，那么这个州全部的票都会归于赢的候选人。基本上，决定胜负的就在几个摇摆州、中立州，民主党和共和党都不能只手遮天。选战也基本发生在这几个州，双方将展开密集的交锋和巡回表演。

从数据上来说，真正参与美国总统投票的人，大概只有20%人口。排除没有投票资格的人群，这个比例也是非常低的，不是真正意义的全民普选。也就是说，至少有一半美国人不参与政治，事不关己高高挂起。因为无论谁当选，他们的命运都不会改变，这部分人往往是最底层的民众。

美国底层人民的生活，相对来说非常悲惨，但他们被来自全世界廉价的产品所供养，过得其实还不错。“穷人”开车排队领救济食品？绝对意义上，对比非洲穷人，这已经是富人了。另一方面，制造大量的“即时快乐”产品，比如娱乐、色情、网络游戏，让美国穷人不思进取，乐不思蜀。

这个美国政治的格局，在互联网出现之后，开始有了不一样的变化。传统媒体渐渐式微，取而代之的是网络媒体，乃至后来的社交媒体。现在，绝大多数人都通过网络来获取信息。这就给了某些人利用新技术操纵美国政治的机会。

比如说Google，当你搜索特朗普或拜登的时候，可以获取你的政治倾向或投票意愿。假设拜登投了巨额广告资金，或者暗地里和Google大佬达成交易，就可以干预搜索结果，呈现对拜登有利，或对特朗普不利的信息。

这些网络巨头，反复地进行A/B测试，同时给不同用户推送不同的内容，哪怕你搜索的是同一个东西，以达到让用户满意或者操纵用户的目标。也就是说，你以为自己知道的真相，其实是网络巨头想让你以为的“真相”。通过长期反复地控制信息源，美国人就能很自然地形成某种政治倾向，或对候选人有一定的偏好。

比如2017年，美国国会就“俄罗斯利用Facebook社交媒体平台干预2016年美国总统大选”发起调查，并以“通俄门”弹劾特朗普。通过社交网络引导舆论，控制选民偏好，是非常容易的事情。

特朗普很了不起，对社交网络的敏感度非常高。当他上任之后，就立马整治各大网络巨头，并尽可能地利用社交网络来为自己服务。几年下来，基本上美国网络巨头对特朗普都服服帖帖了，敢怒而不敢言，只能老实配合。

但TikTok不一样，它的出现破坏了美国原有的政治游戏规则。特朗普搞TikTok的真实原因不是因为背后的“中国成分”，而是因为它是一个搅局者，完全不按美国的政治游戏规则来。打着“国家安全”的旗号，只不过是一石二鸟之计，既能杀鸡儆猴，又能挫挫中国的锐气，甚至还能捞点好处。然而核心，还是控制社交网络的舆论影响力。

这是美国政治体制的共识，无论民主党和共和党，都见识过了社交媒体在阿拉伯之春的爆炸性威力。而TikTok作为短视频载体，天然就拥有比传统社交媒体更具爆炸力的传播属性，它的受众也多以美国底层人民和年轻人为主。这类人群的特点是，无知、无所谓或者年轻气盛，煽动性十足，很容易传染情绪。搞不好，闹个美利坚之春，也不是不可能。

TikTok的技术没有任何问题，根本不是数据和用户隐私的问题，美国政治阶级根本不在乎老百姓的利益。他们只在乎自己的利益，所以TikTok必须死。收购只不过是个幌子，最后他们要的，只是个“政治干净”的娱乐工具罢了。

这一点，特朗普是特别清楚的。而且民主党和其它美国政治阶级，都不可能反对，只会强烈支持。可惜张一鸣这个技术男不懂，还对美国政治有错误的幻觉。美国从来没有真正的言论自由，所谓的自由都必须不能动摇美国的统治基础。

民主党和共和党，都有非常多的问题和毛病。所以，双方虽然你喷我，我喷你，但也不会大打出手，只会点到为止。如果真的撕破脸皮，那就只剩比烂。

所以，美国的总统选举，向来都是表演，看谁的表演能力更强，谁的魅力更大，谁能讨得观众欢心。至于政策，都是半斤八两，没有太大差别，背后都是智囊团的老对手了。至于攻击，大家都是讲对方的小瑕疵，来点人身攻击，动真格就抱着一起死好了。

从外在的魅力和表演来说，特朗普都远胜拜登。历届美国总统，基本都是演讲能力过人的好家伙，口才一流，长得也比较高大帅气。但从真实能力来说，未必比竞争者强。对于整个美国政治体制来说，总统也不过是政治集团在台面上的代言人罢了，不是真正的话事人。

特朗普算是个另类的总统，特别真实。他的所作所为，是个“现实”的真小人。他打破了外国人长久以来对美国的幻想，撕破美国的伪装，还原真实的美国。

其实他大可不必，照老路子继续干几年，让美国在泥潭里越陷越深，烂摊子交给下一任解决就行了。他却一反常态，干了许多超出美国政治惯例的事情，这是他为什么能得到很多支持的根本原因。

美国政治的本质，是财阀政治，政府政策都是财阀意志的体现。没有得到足够多的支持，特朗普不可能任意妄为。对特朗普的攻击，来自那些利益受损的财阀。最终的结果，一定是妥协，点到为止，不会真的让那些财阀大伤元气。

这是特朗普了不起的地方，游走在各方之间，总是拥有化不利为有利的神奇方法。这和他多年的从商经验是分不开的，有着超强的谈判能力和敏锐的洞察力。而传统的美国总统和政客都是老套的，没有太多的新东西。或许正是这一点，让那些财阀刮目相看，决定在特朗普身上下注。

当下的美国，需要的不是拜登这种老掉牙的陈词滥调，而是能调动美国人民情绪的领导者。可以说，没有比特朗普更适合的美国总统了。

与其说，目前的美国困境是特朗普搞出来的，倒不如说是身处困境的美国恰好在特朗普上任期间，问题严重刚好爆发出来了。

美国人向来是不喜欢完美英雄的，那些有着不少缺点的英雄才是美国人的最爱。不然你看好莱坞电影，最受欢迎的角色都是有点臭屁、有些瑕疵的，关键时刻能做“鲁莽”决定的家伙。比如浪子钢铁侠就比好好先生美国队长更受人欢迎，因为他是个“正常人”。

在这么困难的情况下，特朗普还能稳住局面，让美国不至于崩溃，并且奇招迭出，就说明这人了不起。虽然计谋不一定都是他自己出的，但能用计，敢用计，杀伐果断，不得不说就是真厉害。

比如，他用“退出世界卫生组织”这个方法，足足吸引了几个月的火力。但实际上，美国国务院和联合国7月7日才表示，退出的通知已于7月6日发给联合国秘书长古特雷斯。而且真实的退出日期是一年后——即2021年7月6日生效，到时特朗普连任，还可以轻松地推翻这个决定。不费吹灰之力，就把美国的责任卸去了一大半。

不要怀疑这个手段的高明，多少美国人为砍断WHO的经费叫好，虽然这是个不明智的决定。就像我国，如果停止对非洲的支援，不知有多少不明真相的人拍手叫好。

美国人总体上是没有太多理性可言的，毕竟他们不接受辩证唯物主义的教育，不会解放思想，没有实事求是。他们的行事作风，大多时候都是凭借信仰、信念或所谓的逻辑而定。美国人骨子里就“谈红色变”，对马克思主义和毛泽东思想避之唯恐不及。我们不能用自己的想法，去看待美国人的脑回路。

特朗普肯定要利用情绪来搞一波事情，争取支持，他所发起的“攻击中国”系列行动就是为了这个目标。这种时候还亲中，那不得搞个“通共门”？

特朗普，真是了不起。